How past picks did

Two views of the same locked Breakout Score™ shortlists: hit rate vs the full research band, and a soft paper-follow curve under fixed risk rules. Research only; not a promise of future returns.

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Paper follow

Equal-weight top 3 at 1:7 RR (+56%/−8% for 7-day, +84%/−12% for 30-day) over the last 60 pick-days. A strategy curve under fixed exits, not the same as hit rate vs the band.

Starts at $10,000; updates after each short-hold loop. Soft research only.

Past notional results are not a promise of future returns. These curves are notional analytics only, not live Trading agent fills.

Paper follow · 7-day

+95.4%

11 short-hold loops · 3 take-profits / 12 stop-losses

+56% / −8%, ~7d hold, top 3 · BTC buy-hold −13.9%

Paper follow · 30-day

+58.9%

7 short-hold loops · 4 take-profits / 12 stop-losses

+84% / −12%, ~30d hold, top 3 · BTC buy-hold −13.9%

Hit rates vs the band

How often locked Breakout Score™ shortlist picks broke out after each window ended, compared with the band average.

17.6%

7-day #1 hit rate

Share of daily #1 picks that broke out within 7 days, across 35 graded days. Band base rate 16.8%; #1 lift 1.05× (+0.9 pp).

17.5%

7-day top-3 hit rate

How often a pick in the day's top 3 broke out within the window.

19.4%

7-day top-5 hit rate

How often a pick in the day's top 5 broke out within the window.

17.6%

7-day top-10 hit rate

How often a pick in the locked daily shortlist broke out within the window.

1.05×

#1 lift vs band

Band average breakout rate is 16.8%. Lift below 1.0× means #1 underperformed a random band pick over this sample.

Track record questions

How hit rates and paper follow are graded, and what they are not.

What do track-record hit rates measure?
Hit rates show how often locked daily shortlist picks broke out within the chosen window after that window ended. Each trader horizon (1-day, 7-day, 30-day) has its own locked cohort. Past graded outcomes are analytics only, not a promise of future returns.
What is the notional paper follow?
Soft research curves that equal-weight locked top 3 picks at a fixed 1:7 risk-reward: +56% take-profit or -8% stop on the ~7-day hold, and +84% / -12% on the ~30-day hold (matching product grading horizons). The ratio stays fixed so curves stay comparable over time. These curves are notional analytics only (not live Trading agent fills). Past notional results are not a promise of future returns.
Does Breakflare work for day traders, swing traders, or position traders?
Yes. You choose a 1-day, 7-day, or 30-day window at onboarding (or anytime in the terminal). Each window uses its own Breakout Score™ scoring and locked track-record cohort. Day traders use the 1-day window; swing traders usually use 7 days; slower sizing or DCA often uses 30 days. Core research is rankings and context; optional Trading agent can place orders on your connected exchange.
Does Breakflare predict prices?
No. Breakflare measures attention and how fast it is changing, not future price targets or fair value. Breakout Score™ ranks candidates relative to peers. It is not a guarantee of top-50 entry or returns.
Can I trade on Breakflare?
Core research (ranked candidates, whales, trackers, and alerts) does not place orders by itself. Optional Breakflare trading agent can: paper (simulated) mode is free on every plan, and live orders on your own connected exchange account (trade-only API keys, Binance spot first) are a Plus feature. Breakflare never holds your trading balances.
Is Breakflare financial advice?
No. Breakflare is for informational purposes only. Rankings, scores, alerts, and catalyst notes describe attention and market context. They are not buy, sell, or hold recommendations. You are responsible for your own decisions.
What are Breakflare's main limitations?
It is not financial advice and does not predict prices. Core research does not place orders by itself; optional Trading agent can place paper or live orders on your connected exchange (live on Plus). Early history is thin until daily runs accumulate. Signal coverage can vary by coin and day. Breakout Score™ ranks relative peers; it is not a guarantee of top-50 entry.

More questions? Browse the full FAQ for plans, setup, comparisons, and limitations.

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